Monday, July 22, 2013

Election Night in America: Part 3

Arkansas can be called for Rubio. No surprise here as it votes solidly Republican in presidential elections, and Huntsman posed little of a threat here.
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Kansas will also be won by Rubio, despite a large second-place showing from Huntsman.
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Michigan will be won by Gillibrand. Little of a surprise, but the GOP has been getting incrementally stronger here over the course of the past few elections.
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Montana can be called fairly easily for Huntsman. Montana has been leaning Huntsman for a while, but it is still surprising to be able to call the state this early.
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Wyoming will also be won by Rubio. Another second-place showing for Huntsman, too.
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North Dakota is the fourth state called for Huntsman tonight, and yet another surprise to call this early. Huntsman has really had an unprecedented turnout so far.
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Nebraska’s 3rd district has remained strongly loyal to the GOP through a strong Huntsman performance in the state.
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Texas can also be called for Rubio. It is looking like the turnout in the state is around 56% based on exit polls, showing the voter initiative programs are working.
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South Dakota can be called for Huntsman as well. The Dakotas stick together as set by historical precedent.
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The first really big call of the night is New Mexico for Huntsman. Polls were pointing to the state being more competitive than usual, but not an early Huuntsman victory. Another sign Huntsman has had unprecedented turnout tonight.
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Huntsman will also wrestle Maine at-large away from Gillibrand. Maine’s 1st district will remain blue, however.
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Louisiana is too close to call at this hour. It is a neck and neck race between Rubio and Huntsman for the state.
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Wisconsin is too close to call. The state is usually reliably Democratic, but Republicans and now Huntsman have been making waves in the state and turning it into a battleground.
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Minnesota is too close to call. Yet another reliably blue state now thrown up for grabs by Huntsman.
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Colorado is too close to call. It has been looking like a Democratic lean, but the historic battleground state it not giving up its status so soon.
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Iowa is also too close to call. Another state where we can see a three way race in action.
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Nebraska at-large is too close to call. Yet another surprise.
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Arizona is also too close to call. Arizona has been increasingly shifting towards the Democratic side, but Rubio and Huntsman's efforts to reach out to Hispanics have stopped it from going easily.
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Here is the electoral map. Gillibrand maintains a slight lead of 10 electoral votes. Huntsman has already won more electors than projected at some of the final polls before election day. Reports are already showing a massive turnout of 64% from the states already called, and a huge turnout of women and hispanics. A lot of these Hispanics are going for Huntsman. It is looking like we are going to be going over the exit poll data for the next few weeks as we attempt to comprehend Huntsman’s stunning performance.


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